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Market Update: Q3 2023 Thumbnail

Market Update: Q3 2023

The markets have been volatile recently because inflation has not declined as expected, and interest rates remain high. Investors had thought central banks would have started discussing interest rate cuts by now, but that has yet to happen.

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The Bank of Canada “unpauses”—what’s next? Thumbnail

The Bank of Canada “unpauses”—what’s next?

The Bank of Canada (BoC) has “unpaused” and effectively restarted its tightening cycle by increasing interest rates by another 25bps and signaling there might still be more hikes ahead. The BoC has now hiked by 450bps in less than 18 months—one of the most aggressive hiking cycles in Canada’s modern economic history.

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Global market turmoil—what does it mean for Canada? Thumbnail

Global market turmoil—what does it mean for Canada?

Events of the past few days have reinforced several of our core views about the global economy, including our assessment of the Canadian economy: We see higher odds of a recession taking place in the second half of 2023, a development that in turn will likely dampen inflationary pressures as aggregate demand weakens.

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